Seismic shifts in society, can intelligence keep up? - Competitive Intelligence2024-03-28T20:25:03Zhttps://competitiveintelligence.ning.com/forum/topics/seismic-shifts-in-society-can?groupUrl=intelligencecollaborative&commentId=2036441%3AComment%3A31251&groupId=2036441%3AGroup%3A26655&feed=yes&xn_auth=noHello Everyone
A very intere…tag:competitiveintelligence.ning.com,2010-04-07:2036441:Comment:315102010-04-07T17:30:07.975ZV. Shumanhttps://competitiveintelligence.ning.com/profile/VShuman
Hello Everyone<br />
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A very interesting and <u>related set of "thought provoker" talks can be found at <a href="http://www.ted.com" target="_blank">www.ted.com</a></u>. (TED is series of national, global and more recently, local conferences dedicated to "ideas worth sharing", the thought being that looking outside one's own mental backyard has generated many of our most significant leaps forward.) I recently attended a local TED event in Naperville, IL, and felt that there was much to learn from…
Hello Everyone<br />
<br />
A very interesting and <u>related set of "thought provoker" talks can be found at <a href="http://www.ted.com" target="_blank">www.ted.com</a></u>. (TED is series of national, global and more recently, local conferences dedicated to "ideas worth sharing", the thought being that looking outside one's own mental backyard has generated many of our most significant leaps forward.) I recently attended a local TED event in Naperville, IL, and felt that there was much to learn from their dynamic, thoughtful approach to presenting on everything from the "Long Now" foundation, which seeks a cultural shift towards longer term thinking, to discussions of how local reality TV is influencing politics and culture in the Middle East.<br />
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And a thought on <u>"influence"</u> - the TED model seems to be that authorities/speakers are people who have DONE something of particular interest - whether it is writing a best seller or researching the latest in neuroanatomy - and who are then passionate and articulate in sharing their ideas.<br />
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Valerie Eric, Great Video and thanks…tag:competitiveintelligence.ning.com,2010-04-02:2036441:Comment:313232010-04-02T20:35:26.170ZDan Harrishttps://competitiveintelligence.ning.com/profile/DanHarris425
Eric, Great Video and thanks for sharing! Enjoyed the video.<br />
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I've been reading others comments - very interesting points made by all.<br />
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-Dan Harris<br />
harrisd@yahoo-inc.com<br />
Blog - <a href="http://aces.arbita.net/blogs/dan-harris" target="_blank">http://aces.arbita.net/blogs/dan-harris</a><br />
Currently I'm reading "Creativity in Business" by Michael Ray and Rochelle Myers.
Eric, Great Video and thanks for sharing! Enjoyed the video.<br />
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I've been reading others comments - very interesting points made by all.<br />
<br />
-Dan Harris<br />
harrisd@yahoo-inc.com<br />
Blog - <a href="http://aces.arbita.net/blogs/dan-harris" target="_blank">http://aces.arbita.net/blogs/dan-harris</a><br />
Currently I'm reading "Creativity in Business" by Michael Ray and Rochelle Myers. MOREOVER, I think Keith has n…tag:competitiveintelligence.ning.com,2010-04-01:2036441:Comment:312782010-04-01T20:52:15.897ZEric Garlandhttps://competitiveintelligence.ning.com/profile/EricGarland
MOREOVER, I think Keith has nailed why "futures studies" and other forecasting doesn't often get traction in the organization: Unless you're really experienced evaluating forecasts, how can you put a seal of quality on what information you are using?<br />
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And as he also points out - if the whole universe is now "knowledge" instead of barrels of crude oil, how can we evaluate quality in a way that cuts across multiple organizations and cultures.<br />
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Like I said, we have room for incredible amounts of…
MOREOVER, I think Keith has nailed why "futures studies" and other forecasting doesn't often get traction in the organization: Unless you're really experienced evaluating forecasts, how can you put a seal of quality on what information you are using?<br />
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And as he also points out - if the whole universe is now "knowledge" instead of barrels of crude oil, how can we evaluate quality in a way that cuts across multiple organizations and cultures.<br />
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Like I said, we have room for incredible amounts of original work. I agree Keith - who's the arb…tag:competitiveintelligence.ning.com,2010-04-01:2036441:Comment:312772010-04-01T20:34:53.526ZArik Johnsonhttps://competitiveintelligence.ning.com/profile/ArikJohnson
I agree Keith - who's the arbiter of authority in terms of credentialing influence? There's some of this going on with Twitter tools focused on retweeting - e.g., the more retweeted a person is, the more influential... however, that doesn't necessarily mean they're "authoritative" on a subject, right?<br />
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Is there some form of academic peer review that can look at credentialing in real-time? That's always been the problem with peer review - it takes so long... if the barriers could be lowered then…
I agree Keith - who's the arbiter of authority in terms of credentialing influence? There's some of this going on with Twitter tools focused on retweeting - e.g., the more retweeted a person is, the more influential... however, that doesn't necessarily mean they're "authoritative" on a subject, right?<br />
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Is there some form of academic peer review that can look at credentialing in real-time? That's always been the problem with peer review - it takes so long... if the barriers could be lowered then argument can be made more accessible to expert and layman alike. I suppose that's what Digg does. The change that concerns me i…tag:competitiveintelligence.ning.com,2010-04-01:2036441:Comment:312762010-04-01T20:25:11.140ZKeith Burwellhttps://competitiveintelligence.ning.com/profile/KeithBurwell
The change that concerns me is this- through the Industrial ages as put forth in the presentation, we understood quality through performance and output, meaning, companies that created goods, drilled oil, built railroads, or any other "output" were successful because the output was worthwhile and of quality (i.e- useful). For example, Ford made a good product, which increased sales, which allowed him to continue the process.<br />
If knowledge will be the source or seat of power in the next economy,…
The change that concerns me is this- through the Industrial ages as put forth in the presentation, we understood quality through performance and output, meaning, companies that created goods, drilled oil, built railroads, or any other "output" were successful because the output was worthwhile and of quality (i.e- useful). For example, Ford made a good product, which increased sales, which allowed him to continue the process.<br />
If knowledge will be the source or seat of power in the next economy, then the qualification of knowledge becomes crucial. We see this today in blogs, websites, et al. Whose knowledge is trustworthy? How is it codified? Much like the early 2000's when putting a credit card on the web was essentially like the Old West, until security standards were set. If knowledge is truly the locus of power in the next society, then the job of intelligence is to separate the wheat from the chaff when it comes to sourcing that knowledge and disseminating it. Eric,
Spot on, and well said…tag:competitiveintelligence.ning.com,2010-04-01:2036441:Comment:312722010-04-01T19:38:01.614Zmonica nixonhttps://competitiveintelligence.ning.com/profile/monicanixon32
Eric,<br />
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Spot on, and well said. You are precisely right with regard to the fact that colossal changes are happening in real time and that to be successful on a go forward basis - CI must provide pertinent insights/SEWs into these transformational paradigm shifts to enable the business leaders we support to make critical, informed decisions.<br />
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That said, I think this is going to require a radically different emphasis for many CI analysts given we are in uncharted waters fiscally and so much of…
Eric,<br />
<br />
Spot on, and well said. You are precisely right with regard to the fact that colossal changes are happening in real time and that to be successful on a go forward basis - CI must provide pertinent insights/SEWs into these transformational paradigm shifts to enable the business leaders we support to make critical, informed decisions.<br />
<br />
That said, I think this is going to require a radically different emphasis for many CI analysts given we are in uncharted waters fiscally and so much of which way things are going to swing is inherently predicated on ever evolving governmental economic policies. So, where this gets interesting is this precipitates a need for CI to very actively follow the conversation in DC, partner with some of the "quants" that got us into this mess to really get underneath all the BS, remaining systemic risk, legalities, complexity of our vaporware economy; also with social psychologists because the old belief systems about money, obligation, responsibility have been thoroughly annihilated as the result of the manipulation in the housing market and the resultant bank bailouts. We are going to have to get comfortable delving into the world of structured finance which is squarely what got us into this mess, and try to understand the impact of any given effort to "unwind" and put us back on more solid footing while keeping a keen eye on public sentiment and reaction. Yes, this is a very different role I would suppose for many CI analysts...<br />
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Regards,<br />
Monica Eric -
Great topic. I'm famil…tag:competitiveintelligence.ning.com,2010-04-01:2036441:Comment:312652010-04-01T18:57:54.439ZJanet Laane Effronhttps://competitiveintelligence.ning.com/profile/JanetLaaneEffron
Eric -<br />
Great topic. I'm familiar with Jon Husband's work so this particularly caught my eye.<br />
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The interesting thing is that in the various discussions going about the current changes, whether we're calling them a "Seismic shift", "disruptive innovation" or something else, is that there are some broad lessons from history we can apply to this. I think this video (despite the tendency to unsupported assertions) actually does a better job than most, of looking at changes beyond the easy view of…
Eric -<br />
Great topic. I'm familiar with Jon Husband's work so this particularly caught my eye.<br />
<br />
The interesting thing is that in the various discussions going about the current changes, whether we're calling them a "Seismic shift", "disruptive innovation" or something else, is that there are some broad lessons from history we can apply to this. I think this video (despite the tendency to unsupported assertions) actually does a better job than most, of looking at changes beyond the easy view of "this one technology, or this one event, is the focal point of change".<br />
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And you are, in my opinion, asking the right question - what kinds of intelligence do we need?<br />
Perhaps, though the ancillary question is: What are the skills that will allow organizations to build the intelligence that they need? Fundamentally organizations are going to need the same kind of skills that will be needed by society at large. Coming from a scientific background, it is hard for me to admit that the real need for intelligence is not so much in those nice comfortable technical skills, the need is going to be in the area "soft skills".<br />
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Technology changes, but people don't. Any time there has been a cultural shift, there will be idealists, opportunists, and large chunk of the population who are too busy to care what the big picture implications are. How the future plays out will hinge a lot on the development and application a few fundamental skills:<br />
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* the ability to filter information and quickly grasp what is essential (much of which can be done with technical aids, but there's still no substitute for intuitive knowledge when selecting what to read and what to ignore). Young professionals I talk to say, "I don't need knowledge, I can look it all up." This worries me, because you can't do that quick assessment if you don't have a deep understanding and a frame of reference. We need to help young professionals and students recognize this.<br />
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* the ability to assess information rapidly, and I don't just mean business analysis. I'm talking about how quickly can you spot a logical fallacy; or, equally, how many unsupported assertions do you catch and question in the rapid fire steady flow of information that crosses your screen each day.<br />
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A lot of the old skills still hold up, but with the current information stream being accurately compare to "drinking out of a fire hose" (and rapidly expanding to something more like "drinking out of Niagra Falls") those who can filter and assess rapidly are not only a needed asset for most organizations, they are also the ones who are best positioned to respond to the ugly other side of this new world of 2.0 networked information. Because there will be an ugly side (think about the uses of mass media in its early days of prevalence in the early 20th century). And most people are too busy just getting through their day's work to see that side.<br />
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Ultimately how we learn to respond to this explosion of information and networking will have far broader implications than the field of in intelligence, but I think CI professionals and other information professionals are uniquely positioned to see the promise and the pitfalls and to respond to them effectively.<br />
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Janet<br />
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Arik also makes a great point about complexity. Snowden's work in the Cynefin framework has been very helpful to me in this area. Oh and I'm a big Manjoo fan f…tag:competitiveintelligence.ning.com,2010-04-01:2036441:Comment:312602010-04-01T17:49:50.338ZArik Johnsonhttps://competitiveintelligence.ning.com/profile/ArikJohnson
Oh and I'm a big Manjoo fan from Slate.com ;-)
Oh and I'm a big Manjoo fan from Slate.com ;-) Finally got "Here Comes Every…tag:competitiveintelligence.ning.com,2010-04-01:2036441:Comment:312592010-04-01T17:49:33.271ZArik Johnsonhttps://competitiveintelligence.ning.com/profile/ArikJohnson
Finally got "Here Comes Everybody" the other day in softcover - WWGD is on my Amazon wish list.
Finally got "Here Comes Everybody" the other day in softcover - WWGD is on my Amazon wish list. I love the book club idea. Ca…tag:competitiveintelligence.ning.com,2010-04-01:2036441:Comment:312582010-04-01T17:37:20.154ZAugust Jacksonhttps://competitiveintelligence.ning.com/profile/AugustJackson
I love the book club idea. Can I add "What Would Google Do?" "Here Comes Everybody" and "True Enough" to our deep-thoughts reading list?
I love the book club idea. Can I add "What Would Google Do?" "Here Comes Everybody" and "True Enough" to our deep-thoughts reading list?